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Unfamiliar cube from the bar...

Posted By: Henrik Bukkjaer
Date: Monday, 26 November 2012, at 12:32 p.m.

At a recent live league match, I cubed the following position at the first game in a 17 point match.

Do you like the double?

A debate has grown since then, if this cube should be prop'ed as

1) A possible moneygame beaver? 2) A no-double?

The XG evaluation promptly killed all talks about a beaver prop (3- and 4-ply says double, XGR+ says no-double, XGR++ says borderline double).

What are your thoughts on this position?

And if asked (before having seen any XG analysis data), which sides would you have taken on the two proposed props?

-------------------





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 70
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 182
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBBB---A------caCBdccA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71,41% (G:18,50% B:0,46%) 69,26% (G:16,75% B:0,56%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28,59% (G:18,09% B:0,13%) 30,74% (G:18,46% B:0,15%)
  Cubeless Equities +0,436 +0,745
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,583
Double/Take:+0,536 (-0,048)
Double/Pass:+1,000 (+0,417)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9,3%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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