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DQ: What to do in this jam? *** RO ***
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: DQ: What to do in this jam? *** RO *** (leobueno)
Date: Friday, 30 November 2012, at 4:29 p.m.
From Leo's original position, I've moved a White checker back a pip from Blue's 15 point to Blue's 14 point. After Blue's 24/17* play, this change unduplicates 2's to hit in the home board and the outfield, which increases the number of rolls that enter and hit from 18 to 23. 24/17* is probably still best by a little:
The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0
Move number 5: Blue to play 61
White 92
Blue 162 Position ID: truJACDC58EAOA Match ID: UQkHAAAAAAAE • Blue moves 24/17*
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 24/17* -0.883362
0.240356 0.020999 0.000836 - 0.759644 0.430596 0.067013 -0.995066 -0.883362 0.001280 0.000428 0.000085 - 0.001280 0.001372 0.000996 0.003174 0.004260 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 3889 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697895983 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 13/7 8/7 -0.895665 ( -0.012303)
0.221965 0.011034 0.000354 - 0.778035 0.397457 0.058445 -1.000583 -0.895665 0.001260 0.000384 0.000040 - 0.001260 0.001391 0.001063 0.003490 0.004635 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 3888 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697895983 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 8/2 6/5 -0.934907 ( -0.051545)
0.215758 0.011676 0.000494 - 0.784242 0.415587 0.061672 -1.033572 -0.934907 0.002582 0.000849 0.000089 - 0.002582 0.002862 0.002167 0.006835 0.009111 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 805 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697895983 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 13/12 8/2 -0.940512 ( -0.057150)
0.189167 0.010893 0.000131 - 0.810833 0.367007 0.046437 -1.024085 -0.940512 0.002471 0.000714 0.000171 - 0.002471 0.002703 0.001640 0.005137 0.006674 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 804 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 697895983 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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