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The kind of position NTK likes to post

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 8:24 a.m.

In Response To: The kind of position NTK likes to post (John O'Hagan)

Nice position from NTK and nice analysis from JOH. I'd expect more gammons here than in JOH's analysis, but also higher cube efficiency. If you think about how the trailer wins, it comes through small incremental improvements - Blue dances, White hits loose, Blue dances again, White covers, Blue dances, White splits to the 22, Blue dances, White rolls a 6 to escape or an ace to anchor up on the 22, etc. None of these are tremendous jumps in equity, so you could fine-tune the recube. Hence I expect a bit more than 70% efficiency for the use of the cube.

This type of position looks worse for White than it is. Blue has a checker on the bar against a 4-point board, White may put a second one there, and may improve to a 5-point board. White is not at the edge of the prime, but has quite some time to escape with all the checker on the mid and 14. For money, this would be a clear double and a difficult take/drop decision (for me). So at the score, White's take should be relatively easy. It looks still like a double to me because any entering number may easily lose Blue's market.

D/T for me as well.

Messages In This Thread

• The kind of position NTK likes to post
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 4:36 a.m.
  • The kind of position NTK likes to post
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 5:53 a.m.
    • The kind of position NTK likes to post
      Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 8:24 a.m.
    • The kind of position NTK likes to post
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 4:36 p.m.
      • The kind of position NTK likes to post
        Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 5:19 p.m.
  • The kind of position NTK likes to post
    higonefive -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 10:12 a.m.
  • The kind of position NTK likes to post
    Sam Pottle -- Sunday, 2 December 2012, at 10:18 a.m.
  • The kind of position NTK likes to post
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 3 December 2012, at 12:23 a.m.
  • The kind of position NTK likes to post
    MandM1951 -- Monday, 3 December 2012, at 2:27 a.m.
  • OTB and RO's
    neilkaz -- Monday, 3 December 2012, at 3:36 a.m.
    • OTB and RO's
      David Rockwell -- Monday, 3 December 2012, at 4:43 a.m.
      • OTB and RO's
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 4 December 2012, at 3:01 a.m.