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match cube decision - RO

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 13 December 2012, at 5:27 p.m.

In Response To: match cube decision (Chuck Bower)

This says double is clear; take/pass is in question:





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 116
5 point match
pip: 86
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A-CCBBdB----B-----bdb-ab-:0:0:1:00:3:2:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.276% (G:9.276% B:0.048%) 75.084% (G:10.291% B:0.097%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.724% (G:2.115% B:0.048%) 24.916% (G:1.965% B:0.048%)
Cubeless Equities +0.6188 +1.5912
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.7164 (-0.2836)±0.0150 (+0.7014..+0.7314)
Double/Take:+1.0006 (+0.0006)±0.0168 (+0.9838..+1.0174)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 4993745
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:53.0%
Duration: 1 minute 37 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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