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Variants
Posted By: Mr Majestyk In Response To: Cube action - RO (Casper van der Tak)
Date: Sunday, 30 December 2012, at 1:37 a.m.
White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 119Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 92
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=--BBABBC-a-a---b--AbccB-c-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 73.69% (G:12.62% B:0.17%) 74.26% (G:12.88% B:0.18%) Opponent Winning Chances: 26.31% (G:3.54% B:0.18%) 25.74% (G:3.30% B:0.16%) Cubeless Equities +0.565 +1.162 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.894 (-0.106) ±0.008 (+0.886..+0.903) Redouble/Take: +1.015 (+0.015) ±0.011 (+1.004..+1.027) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-plyDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 99.5% Duration: 5 minutes 08 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
It would appear that even with the 4pt slotted (be it, awkwardly) this is still a small pass.
White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 119Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 92
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=--BB-CCB-a-a---b--AbccB-c-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 73.70% (G:10.83% B:0.14%) 74.41% (G:11.56% B:0.16%) Opponent Winning Chances: 26.30% (G:3.54% B:0.14%) 25.59% (G:3.44% B:0.15%) Cubeless Equities +0.547 +1.139 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.879 (-0.097) ±0.008 (+0.871..+0.887) Redouble/Take: +0.976 ±0.012 (+0.965..+0.988) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.024) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-plyDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 4 minutes 48 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
The quality of the pip-shift in this variant is huge; just look at those gammons cropped. I would infer this to be a combination of a crossover gained and the probability of filling the 4pt gap but also the ace as well! Without your follow-up I would have missed it, thx & happy new to you.
NBM
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