BGonline.org Forums

Rollout: 61P-54S-66B-21

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 8 January 2013, at 1:31 a.m.

In Response To: 61P-54S-66B-21 (Timothy Chow)

I haven't had a chance yet to study this position. My current hypothesis is that White has enough ammunition tied up in her stacks that she prefers to hit us with 5's and 6's than to dump checkers behind us without hitting. But I'm not sure if that analysis is correct.

OTB I reasoned that we should stay back because we're so far behind in the race. I considered 6/5 6/4 and 8/5 and played 8/5, leaving only one blot in case of a blot-hitting contest.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 136 Money session Jacoby pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=------EbD---bD---bdeA---A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.	Rollout1	24/22 6/5	eq: -0.582
	Player: Opponent: 35.88% (G:6.70% B:0.27%) 64.12% (G:17.97% B:0.61%) Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.597...-0.567) Duration: 5 hours 18 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/5	eq: -0.639 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 34.04% (G:7.13% B:0.29%) 65.96% (G:20.04% B:0.62%) Conf: ± 0.022 (-0.661...-0.617) Duration: 6 hours 42 minutes
3.	Rollout1	24/23 6/4	eq: -0.641 (-0.058)
	Player: Opponent: 34.69% (G:6.62% B:0.28%) 65.31% (G:18.62% B:0.61%) Conf: ± 0.013 (-0.654...-0.628) Duration: 5 hours 11 minutes
4.	Rollout2	6/5 6/4	eq: -0.668 (-0.086)
	Player: Opponent: 34.63% (G:7.19% B:0.29%) 65.37% (G:22.29% B:0.85%) Conf: ± 0.025 (-0.693...-0.643) Duration: 3 hours 59 minutes
1 2042 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• 61P-54S-66B-21
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 6 January 2013, at 11:59 p.m.
  • 61P-54S-66B-21
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 7 January 2013, at 1:12 a.m.
    • 61P-54S-66B-21
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 7 January 2013, at 8:55 a.m.
  • 61P-54S-66B-21
    mtuhtan -- Monday, 7 January 2013, at 9:14 a.m.
  • 61P-54S-66B-21
    higonefive -- Monday, 7 January 2013, at 11:07 a.m.
  • Alert!!! Request for more responses, please.
    Mr Majestyk -- Monday, 7 January 2013, at 3:13 p.m.
  • 61P-54S-66B-21
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 7 January 2013, at 3:30 p.m.
  • 61P-54S-66B-21
    ah_clem -- Monday, 7 January 2013, at 3:57 p.m.
  • Rollout: 61P-54S-66B-21
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 8 January 2013, at 1:31 a.m.
    • 61P-54S-66B-21 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 8 January 2013, at 5:21 a.m.
      • 61P-54S-66B-21 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 8 January 2013, at 9:18 p.m.