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63S-54H-65@-54P-55P-41T-33C-31P-63C-21H-32 — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 31 January 2013, at 9:09 a.m.

In Response To: My triple whopper! (Taper_Mike)

I am ahead in the race. If I come in without hitting, I am not completely blocked; I can run when I roll any 5, 61, or 62. It is beginning to be the middle game. It is no longer the early game, where free-swinging, hitting exchanges are common. I must temper my occassional tendency toward overaggression. I can win without hitting. I do not need to volunteer a direct shot at two blots.

These are some of the thoughts that ran through my head as I put my opponent’s checker back on the 22pt, and meekly entered on the 23pt. What a mistake. I should have been thinking: I have my opponent outboard; let’s trade hits. He will probably only hit one of my blots; I may well cover the other. I am stripped everywhere, and most 6s will force me to break outside. The 9 dances are huge.

Hit, hit, hit!

Mike






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--AB-BE---b-dB-B-c-cb-a--A:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout1Bar/22* 6/4eq: +0.0392
Player:
Opponent:
49.25% (G:20.03% B:0.44%)
50.75% (G:13.02% B:0.64%)
Conf.: ±0.0088 (+0.0304...+0.0480) - [100.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 23 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/22* 13/11eq: -0.0035 (-0.0427)
Player:
Opponent:
48.67% (G:20.64% B:0.57%)
51.33% (G:13.93% B:0.86%)
Conf.: ±0.0096 (-0.0130...+0.0061) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 15 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/22* 15/13eq: -0.0176 (-0.0568)
Player:
Opponent:
47.91% (G:19.81% B:0.48%)
52.09% (G:11.94% B:0.60%)
Conf.: ±0.0088 (-0.0264...-0.0088) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 07 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/23 6/3eq: -0.2581 (-0.2974)
Player:
Opponent:
43.55% (G:10.47% B:0.21%)
56.45% (G:12.67% B:0.51%)
Conf.: ±0.0063 (-0.2644...-0.2518) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 34 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 10057432
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Jan-29
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
63S-54H-65@-54P-55P-41T-33C-31P-63C-21H-32-tm . xgp
[E H43 R57 e297]  "<=5
[E H24 R58 e306]  "&e
[E H38 R58 e315]  /0.360t

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

63S-54H-65@-54P-55P-41T-33C-31P-63C-21H-32
Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 2-ply Trunc 673407885 +70.148 [E H38 R58 e315] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 10057432 +39.2 [E H43 R57 e297] "<=5 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] +66.7 [E H24 R58 e306] "&e Taper_Mike

63S-54H-65@-54P-55P-41T-33C-31P-63C-21H-32
Nactation Key
FamilyNactationTraditional NotationNote
EachE bar/22*, 6/4
Eache bar/23, 6/3
HitH bar/22*, 13/11
RunR bar/22*, 15/13

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