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What's your evaluation of this possible redouble? **ROLLOUT**

Posted By: Michael Depreli
Date: Thursday, 31 January 2013, at 7:00 p.m.

In Response To: What's your evaluation of this possible redouble? (Michael Depreli)

The combination of the triple stack on the 23 and the buried checker on the ace is just too much.

I thought I could eek out a take but alas it's a blunder.

Take the checker that's buried on the ace and put it anywhere else on the board except the 23 stack and it's a take.

Take a checker off the 23 stack and put it anywhere else on the board except bury it on the ace and it's a take.

Michael

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 129 7 point match pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--c--CCACA-----A-badb--BcA:1:1:1:00:0:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	68.10% (G:25.75% B:2.14%)	68.86% (G:25.86% B:4.88%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	31.90% (G:16.76% B:1.87%)	31.14% (G:17.51% B:7.27%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.469	+1.147
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.772 (-0.228)	±0.021 (+0.751..+0.793)
Redouble/Take:	+1.093 (+0.093)	±0.029 (+1.064..+1.122)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 48 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2