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This soup is too good? interesting continuation result

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 1 February 2013, at 8:13 p.m.

In Response To: This soup is too good? (Mr Majestyk)

ND + fan + cover with 4/1 roll. Now what? (Unlimted/$ game)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 113
Unlimited Game
pip: 49
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-C-Ca-----a------b-bbbcA:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.863% (G:22.252% B:2.507%) 58.521% (G:22.125% B:2.715%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.137% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 41.479% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.4248 +0.8376
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.5545±0.0104 (+0.5442..+0.5649)
Redouble/Take:+0.4830 (-0.0715)±0.0210 (+0.4620..+0.5041)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.4455)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.1%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56544640
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 54 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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