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Mochy's reference position — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Saturday, 2 February 2013, at 9:06 p.m.

In Response To: Mochy's reference position (mtuhtan)

–
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 134
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-DB--bC--bd-db-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 75.478% (G:9.087% B:0.113%) 75.744% (G:9.401% B:0.142%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.522% (G:2.105% B:0.049%) 24.256% (G:2.339% B:0.070%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.5800 +1.1724
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.9088 (-0.0912)±0.0036 (+0.9052..+0.9123)
Double/Take:+1.0171 (+0.0171)±0.0058 (+1.0112..+1.0229)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70967319
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 32 minutes 29 seconds

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Feb-02
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Flashcard PositionID 000755.xgp
[D 1017-108] "<=5
This reference position comes from Mochy’s lecture on doubling.

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Thanks. Here is my rollout with Jacoby and beavers.

Is Mochy’s lecture still available?

Mike

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