When ahead in the race, race. And so I did, with 20/14(2), figuring I could break one of the outside points with a 5 or a 6, leave a single shot, gain some flexibility, and bring 'em home. Shame on me for overlooking the shifting play inside, though I doubt I would have played had I seen it. Anything else is a big error.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | 1 point match | pip: 121 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-CBBBbB---cB----cfB-----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:1:10 |
Blue to play 33 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/10(2) 4/1*(2) | eq: +0.567 |
| Player: Opponent: | 78.36% (G:50.35% B:0.60%) 21.64% (G:3.59% B:0.38%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.562...+0.572) - [100.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 35 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 20/14 4/1*(2) | eq: +0.520 (-0.048) |
| Player: Opponent: | 75.98% (G:48.84% B:0.77%) 24.02% (G:4.48% B:0.25%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.515...+0.525) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 38 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 20/14(2) | eq: +0.516 (-0.051) |
| Player: Opponent: | 75.79% (G:34.69% B:1.61%) 24.21% (G:4.52% B:0.21%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.511...+0.521) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 21 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout1 | 20/17(2) 13/10(2) | eq: +0.513 (-0.054) |
| Player: Opponent: | 75.67% (G:36.34% B:1.68%) 24.33% (G:3.92% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.509...+0.518) - [0.0%] Duration: 27 minutes 07 seconds |
|
5. | Rollout1 | 20/17(2) 4/1*(2) | eq: +0.510 (-0.057) |
| Player: Opponent: | 75.50% (G:45.51% B:0.42%) 24.50% (G:4.42% B:0.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.505...+0.515) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 08 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2