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BGonline.org Forums
Who's Afraid Of The Big Bad Cube?
Posted By: Chase In Response To: Who's Afraid Of The Big Bad Cube? (Michael Depreli)
Date: Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 10:14 p.m.
I almost never do this stuff over the board, because I don't have everything memorized and because it takes too long for me to do the math, but let's see if I can walk this through.
I'd guess Blue wins 28% gammons to White's 10%. Gammon values on a 2 cube are roughly .5 and 1, respectively. So the gammon adjustment would be (28 x .5) - (10 x 1) = 4. White's take point is about 30%, plus the gammon adjustment of 4%, or about 34%. I think he can win more often than that, plus he's got a good amount of recube vig. I'd take.
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