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Rollout: More fun for the DMP ninjas

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 7 February 2013, at 1:51 a.m.

In Response To: More fun for the DMP ninjas (Timothy Chow)

It seems that two different plans are viable. It feels like there may be a useful reference position lurking nearby. The position as it stands is too messy to serve as a reference but it might be possible to adjust it while keeping the balance.

For money I recall that 13/6 came out on top.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 101
1 point match
pip: 146
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-A-DACa---A-aabbbbbbBA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout113/9* 8/5eq: -0.689
Player:
Opponent:
15.55% (G:0.72% B:0.08%)
84.45% (G:57.20% B:17.36%)
Conf: 0.006 (-0.695...-0.683)
Duration: 4 hours 07 minutes
2.Rollout18/5 8/4eq: -0.693 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
15.37% (G:0.84% B:0.03%)
84.63% (G:38.02% B:3.70%)
Conf: 0.004 (-0.697...-0.689)
Duration: 2 hours 16 minutes
3.Rollout18/4 6/3eq: -0.698 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
15.08% (G:0.85% B:0.03%)
84.92% (G:38.24% B:3.76%)
Conf: 0.004 (-0.702...-0.694)
Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes
4.Rollout18/5 7/3eq: -0.699 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
15.04% (G:0.68% B:0.06%)
84.96% (G:41.76% B:5.85%)
Conf: 0.004 (-0.703...-0.695)
Duration: 2 hours 04 minutes
5.Rollout113/9* 6/3eq: -0.701 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
14.96% (G:0.72% B:0.04%)
85.04% (G:55.19% B:16.47%)
Conf: 0.007 (-0.708...-0.694)
Duration: 3 hours 51 minutes
6.Rollout27/3 6/3eq: -0.714 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
14.31% (G:0.59% B:0.03%)
85.69% (G:38.84% B:3.97%)
Conf: 0.005 (-0.719...-0.709)
Duration: 53 minutes 26 seconds
7.Rollout213/10 8/4eq: -0.721 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
13.97% (G:0.52% B:0.04%)
86.03% (G:37.99% B:3.06%)
Conf: 0.006 (-0.727...-0.715)
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
8.Rollout213/10 7/3eq: -0.724 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:
13.78% (G:0.54% B:0.03%)
86.22% (G:38.95% B:3.39%)
Conf: 0.005 (-0.729...-0.719)
Duration: 40 minutes 46 seconds
9.Rollout28/4 7/4eq: -0.732 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:
13.40% (G:0.58% B:0.02%)
86.60% (G:39.66% B:3.95%)
Conf: 0.006 (-0.738...-0.726)
Duration: 46 minutes 50 seconds
10.Rollout28/1eq: -0.734 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
13.31% (G:0.42% B:0.02%)
86.69% (G:49.39% B:9.79%)
Conf: 0.006 (-0.740...-0.728)
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes
11.Rollout27/3 4/1eq: -0.737 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
13.15% (G:0.33% B:0.01%)
86.85% (G:48.69% B:10.22%)
Conf: 0.006 (-0.743...-0.731)
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes
12.Rollout213/9* 4/1eq: -0.740 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:
12.99% (G:0.55% B:0.05%)
87.01% (G:52.95% B:12.94%)
Conf: 0.007 (-0.747...-0.733)
Duration: 1 hour 56 minutes
13.Rollout213/6eq: -0.741 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
12.96% (G:0.61% B:0.02%)
87.04% (G:39.20% B:4.16%)
Conf: 0.005 (-0.746...-0.736)
Duration: 57 minutes 39 seconds
14.Rollout213/9* 9/6eq: -0.757 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:
12.17% (G:0.69% B:0.06%)
87.83% (G:47.67% B:9.76%)
Conf: 0.007 (-0.764...-0.750)
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes
15.Rollout213/9* 7/4eq: -0.760 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:
12.02% (G:0.53% B:0.06%)
87.98% (G:45.80% B:8.03%)
Conf: 0.006 (-0.766...-0.754)
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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