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BGonline.org Forums
Cube action ATS?
Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov In Response To: Cube action ATS? (John O'Hagan)
Date: Thursday, 7 February 2013, at 8:44 p.m.
Tailers autorcube takepoint ats is twice her equity if She passees. ~3.5*2=7%
Nearly all her wins occur when she bears off in two rolls before he does. Her wins when she bears off in 3 rolls are very rare and can be ignored,or winning chances rounded up at the end of calculations. I did an excercise and calculated chances of not bearing off in 2 or 1 roll for White (744/1296) and chances of Black to bear f in 2 rolls (159/1296). Multiplying these numbrers gives Blacks winning chances of slightly more than 7%. So, this is a take, and since this is almost a drop I think that doubling is also correct. I did this in my head and it took just under 20 minutes. No way I would attempt to do it OTB. SO, to me the question is: how do you approach this OTB
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