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BGonline.org Forums
How to make sense of this?
Posted By: Karam Ashoo
Date: Monday, 11 February 2013, at 10:48 p.m.
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1507 point match pip: 176
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=-aa---E-B-ABdB---bac-abAAA:0:0:-1:D:0:0:0:7:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 65.59% (G:33.70% B:3.67%) 65.43% (G:35.22% B:4.38%) Opponent Winning Chances: 34.41% (G:7.87% B:0.43%) 34.57% (G:7.91% B:0.56%) Cubeless Equities +0.613 +1.304 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.838 (-0.162) ±0.015 (+0.823..+0.852) Double/Take: +1.011 (+0.011) ±0.023 (+0.988..+1.034) Double/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-plyDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 82.7% Duration: 14 minutes 44 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
I am finding it difficult to reconcile the Pass/Take decision with the percentage figures. Brown wins 65% yet he has a clear double? Blond wins over 34% yet the analysis says Pass!
I would greatly appreciate an explanation. Thanks.
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