[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

How to make sense of this?

Posted By: Karam Ashoo
Date: Monday, 11 February 2013, at 10:48 p.m.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
7 point match
pip: 176
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-B-ABdB---bac-abAAA:0:0:-1:D:0:0:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.59% (G:33.70% B:3.67%) 65.43% (G:35.22% B:4.38%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.41% (G:7.87% B:0.43%) 34.57% (G:7.91% B:0.56%)
Cubeless Equities +0.613 +1.304
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.838 (-0.162)±0.015 (+0.823..+0.852)
Double/Take:+1.011 (+0.011)±0.023 (+0.988..+1.034)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:82.7%
Duration: 14 minutes 44 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

I am finding it difficult to reconcile the Pass/Take decision with the percentage figures. Brown wins 65% yet he has a clear double? Blond wins over 34% yet the analysis says Pass!

I would greatly appreciate an explanation. Thanks.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.