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Truncated RO: double take decision in priming game

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 18 February 2013, at 6:13 p.m.

In Response To: double take decision in priming game (konstantin)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 128
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 111
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaBBBCC------bA---bbcbbB--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 58.81% (G: 29.31% B: 0.83%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.19% (G: 9.38% B: 0.44%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.28% (G: 28.94% B: 0.85%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.72% (G: 8.89% B: 0.38%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.379
Redouble:+0.782
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.543
Redouble/Take:+0.511 (-0.032)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.457)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.008 (+0.534...+0.551)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.019 (+0.492...+0.530)
Double Decision confidence: 99.9%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 59.9 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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