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DQ: The safe is better than the bold *Rollout*

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Sunday, 24 February 2013, at 3:49 a.m.

In Response To: DQ: The safe is better than the bold (leobueno)

is gnubg

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

is leo
XGID=-a--aBD-C----CbA-bbbcb-AA-:1:1:1:43:0:0:2:0:10
to play 43

1.xgRollout115/12 8/4* eq: -0.493
Player:
Opponent:
32.06% (G:8.04% B:0.41%)
67.94% (G:32.71% B:3.35%)
Conf.: 0.022 (-0.515...-0.471) - [100.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 23 seconds
2.Rollout18/4* 4/1* eq: -0.540 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
29.97% (G:7.89% B:0.30%)
70.03% (G:30.47% B:2.75%)
Conf.: 0.017 (-0.557...-0.523) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 18 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 8/4* eq: -0.616 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:
31.05% (G:7.84% B:0.44%)
68.95% (G:38.34% B:6.88%)
Conf.: 0.021 (-0.638...-0.595) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 02 seconds
4.playedRollout215/8eq: -0.618 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:
27.08% (G:6.00% B:0.27%)
72.92% (G:31.15% B:1.29%)
Conf.: 0.013 (-0.631...-0.604) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42 minutes 25 seconds
5.XG Roller15/11 8/5eq: -0.667 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:
26.08% (G:5.09% B:0.22%)
73.92% (G:31.52% B:1.82%)
6.XG Roller8/1* eq: -0.719 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:
24.69% (G:5.26% B:0.17%)
75.31% (G:32.87% B:2.54%)
7.XG Roller15/12 13/9eq: -0.721 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:
27.09% (G:5.54% B:0.28%)
72.91% (G:38.23% B:3.56%)
8.XG Roller15/11 13/10eq: -0.729 (-0.236)
Player:
Opponent:
26.81% (G:5.53% B:0.28%)
73.19% (G:38.19% B:3.71%)
1 361 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23485271
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

2 360 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23485271
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, leo 0

Move number 12: leo to play 43

gnubg132

1O1O '2X3X2X2X2X '1O2X3O

1X ' '1X2O4O '3O ' ' ' '
leo159
Position ID: 2G1jACKw5+AEKA Match ID: UQkOAAAAAAAE

leo moves 15/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0.563
31.7 7.9 0.2 - 68.3 26.2 1.5
Cubeful equities:
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0.455
2.Double, pass +1.000 +1.455
3.Double, take -1.778 -1.323
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (47.6%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.114)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 15/12 8/4* -0.501
32.4 8.3 0.5- 67.6 33.7 3.4 -0.635 -0.501
0.3 0.2 0.1- 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.008 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
877 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 671758065 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/4*/1* -0.540 ( -0.038)
29.9 7.7 0.2- 70.1 30.6 3.0 -0.659 -0.540
0.3 0.2 0.0- 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.009 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
872 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 671758065 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/10 8/4* -0.603 ( -0.102)
31.8 8.4 0.6- 68.2 39.0 6.7 -0.732 -0.603
0.5 0.3 0.1- 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.017 0.024
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
360 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 671758065 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 15/8 -0.615 ( -0.114)
26.8 5.9 0.3- 73.2 30.7 1.0 -0.718 -0.615
0.4 0.3 0.0- 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.011 0.015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 671758065 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 2 15/11 8/5 -0.634 ( -0.132)
27.5 6.6 0.2 - 72.5 32.8 1.8
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 2 8/1* -0.690 ( -0.189)
26.0 6.2 0.1 - 74.0 33.8 2.4
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 2 8/4* 6/3 -0.702 ( -0.201)
31.6 7.8 0.4 - 68.4 45.1 7.2
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 2 8/5 8/4* -0.718 ( -0.217)
29.7 7.9 0.4 - 70.3 42.6 7.0
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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