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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 27 March 2013, at 1:11 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action ATS? (John O'Hagan)

I was Black in this position vs. XGR+. I mistakenly took. My takepoint ATS is 11.5% less half my tiny gammon chances = around 11.2%. I only win it 10.6%, so passing is correct.

is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 82
13 point match
pip: 116
score: 9

is Player 1
XGID=aaaCBBBBB-------------Ae-A:1:1:1:00:9:3:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 89.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 89.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 10.85% (G:0.56% B:0.10%) 10.59% (G:0.55% B:0.21%)
Cubeless Equities +0.775 +1.415
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.932 (-0.068)±0.010 (+0.922..+0.941)
Redouble/Take:+1.049 (+0.049)±0.018 (+1.032..+1.067)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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