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what do all of these have in common?

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 29 March 2013, at 1:02 a.m.

In Response To: what do all of these have in common? (Keene)

A bunch of rollouts etc. Interesting how the position swung between D/P, D/T, D/P etc etc.

		White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 123 11 point match pip: 102 score: 8 Blue is Keene
XGID=--aBBaDBC---bB--aa-bbbab--:0:0:1:00:8:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	78.81% (G:21.68% B:0.79%)	79.09% (G:22.60% B:1.13%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	21.19% (G:2.40% B:0.06%)	20.91% (G:2.56% B:0.07%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.733	+1.181
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.824 (-0.032)	±0.008 (+0.816..+0.832)
Double/Take:	+0.855	±0.015 (+0.841..+0.870)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.145)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66049945 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 13 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 126 11 point match pip: 73 score: 8 Blue is Keene
XGID=-bBBBBDC----b---a--cbbab--:0:0:1:00:8:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	83.46% (G:16.36% B:1.08%)	83.24% (G:18.73% B:2.42%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	16.54% (G:0.14% B:0.01%)	16.76% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.808	+1.353
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.970 (-0.030)	±0.004 (+0.966..+0.974)
Double/Take:	+1.131 (+0.131)	±0.009 (+1.122..+1.140)
Double/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66049945 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 122 11 point match pip: 71 score: 8 Blue is Keene
XGID=-bBBBCDB----aa--a--bbbbb--:0:0:1:00:8:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	84.59% (G:16.82% B:0.79%)	84.11% (G:19.68% B:2.85%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	15.41% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)	15.89% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.831	+1.395
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.949 (-0.051)	±0.001 (+0.948..+0.950)
Double/Take:	+1.183 (+0.183)	±0.009 (+1.174..+1.192)
Double/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66049945 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 106 11 point match pip: 69 score: 8 Blue is Keene
XGID=-bBBCCCB--------a--bccbb--:0:0:1:00:8:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	89.34% (G:12.71% B:0.38%)	89.73% (G:12.40% B:1.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	10.66% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)	10.27% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.890	+1.531
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.969 (-0.031)	±0.002 (+0.967..+0.971)
Double/Take:	+1.413 (+0.413)	±0.006 (+1.407..+1.419)
Double/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66049945 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 35 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 80 11 point match pip: 48 score: 8 Blue is Keene
XGID=-bBCBCB--------------ccdc-:0:0:1:33:8:0:0:11:10
Blue to play 33

1.	Rollout1	6/Off(2)	eq: +1.227
	Player: Opponent: 97.01% (G:29.36% B:1.14%) 2.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.224...+1.229) - [100.0%] Duration: 19.5 seconds
2.	Rollout1	5/2 3/Off(3)	eq: +1.195 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 95.20% (G:28.51% B:1.15%) 4.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.193...+1.198) - [0.0%] Duration: 31.4 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/3 6/Off 5/2	eq: +1.168 (-0.058)
	Player: Opponent: 97.23% (G:24.50% B:0.74%) 2.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.166...+1.171) - [0.0%] Duration: 16.4 seconds
4.	3-ply	6/Off 5/2 3/Off	eq: +1.123 (-0.104)
	Player: Opponent: 92.49% (G:22.85% B:1.02%) 7.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.	3-ply	5/2(3) 3/Off	eq: +1.114 (-0.113)
	Player: Opponent: 95.69% (G:19.56% B:0.53%) 4.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66049945 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• what do all of these have in common?
  Keene -- Sunday, 24 March 2013, at 4:43 p.m.
  • what do all of these have in common?
    Michael Nielsen -- Sunday, 24 March 2013, at 5:42 p.m.
    • what do all of these have in common?
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 24 March 2013, at 5:53 p.m.
  • what do all of these have in common?
    Stick -- Sunday, 24 March 2013, at 6:17 p.m.
    • what do all of these have in common?
      Keene -- Tuesday, 26 March 2013, at 4:33 p.m.
  • what do all of these have in common?
    Keene -- Friday, 29 March 2013, at 1:02 a.m.