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53P-21S-63S-52S-52B-21E-65R-42P-51 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 5 April 2013, at 7:49 p.m.

In Response To: standard below average roll - ROLLOUT (Taper_Mike)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 148
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 132
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B--D-Ca--cFb--b-cab----:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51
1.Rollout113/7eq: +0.3260
Player:
Opponent:
58.30% (G:11.10% B:0.34%)
41.70% (G:8.30% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ±0.0066 (+0.3194...+0.3326) - [100.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout18/7 6/1* eq: +0.2252 (-0.1008)
Player:
Opponent:
55.02% (G:14.12% B:0.42%)
44.98% (G:11.50% B:0.41%)
Conf.: ±0.0081 (+0.2171...+0.2333) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 13 seconds
3.Rollout113/8 6/5eq: +0.2162 (-0.1099)
Player:
Opponent:
56.13% (G:9.42% B:0.26%)
43.87% (G:9.46% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ±0.0066 (+0.2095...+0.2228) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 41 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 61568891
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Apr-05
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
53P-21S-63S-52S-52B-21E-65R-42P-51-tm.xgp
[D H101 $110] "<=5
[D $109 H115 a208 A245] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

53P-21S-63S-52S-52B-21E-65R-42P-51 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 2-ply Trunc 678884746 [D H89 $110 a211 A242] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 61568891 +326.0 [D H101 $110] "<=5 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 66049945 +342 [D H113 $118 a217 A266] "<=1 Keene Marin
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] +312.2 [D $109 H115 a208 A245] "&e Taper_Mike

53P-21S-63S-52S-52B-21E-65R-42P-51 — Nactation Key
FamilyNactationTraditional NotationNote
Slot$ 13/8, 6/5
Alternate slot% 13/7
AttackA 8/3, 6/5
Attacka 8/2
DownD 13/7
HitH 8/7, 6/1*

When you have escaped both rear checkers early, and then have a choice between slotting (or making) the 5pt or the 7pt, having a safe 6 to play in the follow up may tip the balance in favor of the 7pt.

I spent an enjoyable hour trying to figure out a well-played retro-sequence that leads to this position, but could not find one. Thanks to Keene for sending the original. It is well played.

Mike

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