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31P-62S-32 Unlimited Games 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 5 April 2013, at 8:19 p.m.

In Response To: Safe play is 5th best 31P-62S-32 (Taper_Mike)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BDaB---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32
1.Rollout16/1* eq: +0.0449
Player:
Opponent:
50.04% (G:16.85% B:0.57%)
49.96% (G:12.66% B:0.66%)
Conf.: ±0.0023 (+0.0426...+0.0472) - [66.9%]
Duration: 9 hours 24 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 24/21eq: +0.0436 (-0.0012)
Player:
Opponent:
50.76% (G:12.63% B:0.52%)
49.24% (G:10.65% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ±0.0021 (+0.0416...+0.0457) - [16.4%]
Duration: 8 hours 56 minutes
3.Rollout124/21 13/11eq: +0.0436 (-0.0012)
Player:
Opponent:
50.64% (G:13.90% B:0.52%)
49.36% (G:11.40% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ±0.0021 (+0.0415...+0.0458) - [16.6%]
Duration: 9 hours 19 minutes
4.Rollout124/22 13/10eq: +0.0371 (-0.0078)
Player:
Opponent:
50.52% (G:14.28% B:0.55%)
49.48% (G:12.05% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ±0.0023 (+0.0348...+0.0394) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 hours 08 minutes
5.Rollout213/8eq: +0.0330 (-0.0119)
Player:
Opponent:
50.34% (G:14.02% B:0.52%)
49.66% (G:11.41% B:0.47%)
Conf.: ±0.0030 (+0.0300...+0.0360) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 50 minutes
6.Rollout324/21 6/4eq: +0.0116 (-0.0333)
Player:
Opponent:
50.19% (G:13.79% B:0.59%)
49.81% (G:12.40% B:0.57%)
Conf.: ±0.0054 (+0.0062...+0.0171) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 18 minutes
7.Rollout313/10 6/4eq: +0.0115 (-0.0334)
Player:
Opponent:
50.15% (G:14.44% B:0.55%)
49.85% (G:12.88% B:0.77%)
Conf.: ±0.0056 (+0.0059...+0.0171) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes
 
1 62208 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 89502711
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 89502711
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 89502711
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Mar-24
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
31P-62S-32-tm.xgp
[H U1 S1 Z8 d12 W33 $33] "<=62***31 10
[U H2 d5 Z6 S7 W30 $32] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

31P-62S-32 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 2-ply 1060655168 +44.6 [S H4 U4 Z10 d12] /10 BgOnline.org
GnuBg 2-ply Trunc 677917101 +21.830 [U d10 Z14 S15 H17 W46] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 89502711 +44.9 [H U1 S1 Z8 d12 W33 $33] "<=62***31 10 Taper_Mike
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] +43.9 [U H2 d5 Z6 S7 W30 $32] "&e Taper_Mike

31P-62S-32 — Nactation Key
FamilyNactationTraditional NotationNote
DownD 13/11, 13/10
Downd 13/8
HitH 6/1*
SplitS 24/21, 13/11
UpU 24/22, 24/21
WildW 24/21, 6/4
Reverse splitZ 24/22, 13/10

Unless you are slotting the 4pt, there are no wrong answers here. With five plays all within 0.012, the choice between H, U, S, d, and Z may be one of preference as much as anything else.

For comparison, here are a couple of XG1 rollouts for 62S-32.

62S-32 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
XG 1.xx 3-ply 1296 255 [U S3 W4 T26 Z27 H30 $34] '<46**5 Stick
XG 1.14 4-ply 87427665 242 [U S14 W15 H38 T39 Z42] '^15**5 Neil Kazaross

Mike

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