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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 8 April 2013, at 4:33 p.m.

In Response To: Vegas Super Jackpot Results and Positions (Paul Weaver)

A ton of views and no takers, odd.





White is Player 2

score: 13
pip: 165
15 point match
pip: 194
score: 10

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-aab-DAB---AC--aaabab-bD-:0:0:1:00:10:13:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.48% (G:26.43% B:1.86%) 61.34% (G:27.20% B:1.47%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.52% (G:14.49% B:4.27%) 38.66% (G:14.98% B:5.67%)
Cubeless Equities +0.197 +0.935
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.753 (-0.182)±0.016 (+0.737..+0.769)
Double/Take:+0.935±0.039 (+0.896..+0.975)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.065)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1620 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71955958
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:99.9%
Duration: 39 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2






White is Player 2

score: 13
pip: 153
15 point match
pip: 157
score: 12

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-BBC-A---dE---c-d--b-B-:0:0:1:00:12:13:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.11% (G:22.07% B:1.50%) 59.23% (G:22.81% B:2.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.89% (G:13.73% B:2.42%) 40.77% (G:13.83% B:2.47%)
Cubeless Equities +0.260 +0.799
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.730 (-0.070)±0.019 (+0.710..+0.749)
Double/Take:+0.799±0.024 (+0.775..+0.823)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.201)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7952277
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 35 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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