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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 8 April 2013, at 5:58 p.m.

In Response To: Matt Will Play In Two Vegas Finals Tomorrow (Paul Weaver)

Again, no replies about the actual problems. Quit slacking.





White is Player 1

score: 1
pip: 56
15 point match
pip: 89
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-ACBBBB-----aB---a--Acecb-:1:1:1:00:0:1:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.58% (G:16.00% B:0.49%) 65.99% (G:16.55% B:0.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.42% (G:2.71% B:0.02%) 34.01% (G:3.55% B:0.05%)
Cubeless Equities +0.457 +0.951
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.563 (-0.124)±0.005 (+0.558..+0.567)
Redouble/Take:+0.687±0.008 (+0.679..+0.695)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.313)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54736617
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2






White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 129
15 point match
pip: 86
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBcBBBB------bA--abAcbb--:0:0:1:00:1:2:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.20% (G:22.91% B:0.33%) 68.86% (G:23.03% B:0.39%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.80% (G:5.04% B:0.15%) 31.14% (G:5.06% B:0.16%)
Cubeless Equities +0.570 +1.159
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.693 (-0.234)±0.012 (+0.681..+0.705)
Double/Take:+0.927±0.024 (+0.902..+0.951)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.073)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59351391
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2






White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 165
15 point match
pip: 157
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---baBC-CB--cC---cae----B-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.07% (G:21.78% B:0.96%) 68.19% (G:22.15% B:1.03%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.93% (G:6.94% B:0.31%) 31.81% (G:7.10% B:0.38%)
Cubeless Equities +0.524 +1.083
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.803 (-0.027)±0.010 (+0.793..+0.813)
Double/Take:+0.830±0.015 (+0.814..+0.845)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.170)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46530432
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:99.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2






White is Player 1

score: 3
pip: 153
15 point match
pip: 136
score: 7

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a---CCBBAA-c--aac-bbb-AB-:0:0:-1:00:3:7:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.89% (G:27.87% B:2.98%) 69.53% (G:27.95% B:3.55%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.11% (G:7.21% B:0.40%) 30.47% (G:7.40% B:0.40%)
Cubeless Equities +0.659 +1.291
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.770 (-0.089)±0.023 (+0.747..+0.793)
Double/Take:+0.860±0.034 (+0.825..+0.894)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.140)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59351391
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 31 minutes 23 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2






White is Player 1

score: 9
pip: 107
15 point match
pip: 104
score: 9

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-B-BBBCA----c---B-cdbb-aA-:0:0:-1:00:9:9:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 72.79% (G:10.17% B:0.20%) 73.76% (G:9.97% B:0.19%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 27.21% (G:3.92% B:0.04%) 26.24% (G:3.90% B:0.06%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.529 +1.170
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.810 (-0.190)±0.005 (+0.805..+0.815)
Double/Take:+1.001 (+0.001)±0.009 (+0.992..+1.010)
Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1797 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54736617
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:58.0%
Duration: 34 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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