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Basketball Playoffs Probability Question

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 25 April 2013, at 2:14 p.m.

In Response To: Basketball Playoffs Probability Question (Casper van der Tak)

Yes, this is definitely the elegant proof!

The real issue may be that the assumptions are not quite true in practice. For example, for psychological reasons, the probability of winning a particular game may depend not only on whether it's a home game, but what the score is at that stage in the competition, or how the previous game went, etc.

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