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White won't resign

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Thursday, 2 May 2013, at 5:29 p.m.

In Response To: White won't resign (ah_clem)

my ballpark estimation of the error is 2.40E-40 equity

This is after white rolls 66 14 times in a row, Blue rolls 21 13 times in a row. the resulting position is then: either
After 8/3 7/3: 95.76% chances to win




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 8
1 point match
pip: 5
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--AA-------------------d--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:1:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

 After 8/4 7/2: 97.30% chances to win




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 8
1 point match
pip: 5
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--A------------------d--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:1:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

It is however higher as White can bear off in 15 turn with other doubles than 66 (for instance 4 twos followed by 13 sixes)

my guess is that it hads a couple factor of magnitude. So i'd say the error is around 1E-38 equity if blue made the awful bad move to pile on 3.

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