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More free advertising for Stick ROLLOUT

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Tuesday, 7 May 2013, at 7:56 p.m.

In Response To: More free advertising for Stick ROLLOUT (ah_clem)

2592 trials gets us to the 95% confidence interval, but barely.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 186
Unlimited Game
pip: 126
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-c-b-BEBC---bB---a-cbbA---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.17% (G:28.66% B:3.21%) 62.95% (G:28.67% B:3.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.83% (G:6.18% B:0.26%) 37.05% (G:6.39% B:0.29%)
Cubeless Equities +0.518 +1.022
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.728±0.013 (+0.714..+0.741)
xg Double/Take:+0.709 (-0.019)±0.018 (+0.691..+0.727)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.272)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.1%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:95.1%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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