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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Chase In Response To: More free advertising for Stick (Timothy Chow)
Date: Wednesday, 8 May 2013, at 3:20 a.m.
Not quite 100% confidence interval on the double decision, but close enough for jazz.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 186Unlimited Game pip: 126
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-c-b-BEBC---bB---a-cbbA---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 63.14% (G:28.67% B:3.16%) 63.05% (G:28.77% B:3.22%) Opponent Winning Chances: 36.86% (G:6.08% B:0.27%) 36.95% (G:6.27% B:0.28%) Cubeless Equities +0.518 +1.030 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.729 ±0.005 (+0.724..+0.734) Double/Take: +0.720 (-0.008) ±0.006 (+0.714..+0.727) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.271) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.9% Rollout details 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 4
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 98.2% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 20 hours 50 minutes eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
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