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RO and OTB
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Playing the middle game after ur opp survives a point switching blitz (neilkaz)
Date: Thursday, 9 May 2013, at 12:32 p.m.
OTB I new that in this sort of position you usually want to attack the advanced checker in your board...ie the checker on the 6 pt bcuz if you can end up making the 6 pt the gains are enormous. I saw plays likw 16/13 24/23, but then my brain farted and I while I saw plays with 13/10, I failed to see 24/23 even though I was trying to dupe 4's. All that I considered was 13/9 or 13/10 16/15 and rejected both since 4's aren't duped to hit.
Finally I ended up playing 24/20, but as the RO's and several comments show, this is clearly worse than 24/21 16/15 probably bcuz it risks attack on a more valuable point and gives good 1's.
I took my time with this play, but should've taken more time. Then maybe I'd have not overlooked 24/23 along with 13/10 or at least realized that if I wanted to step up 24/21 16/15 was the way to do so.
When you have a quite unusual position like this one (ie I have no 6 pt and no builders) TAKE YOUR TIME considering your plays.
White is prucea
score: 5
pip: 15911 point match pip: 131
score: 8
Blue is neilkazXGID=-BbBBBa-----bE--Acbe----A-:0:0:1:31:8:5:0:11:10 Blue to play 31
1. Rollout1 24/23 13/10 eq: -0.0137
Player:
Opponent:52.51% (G:19.85% B:2.40%)
47.49% (G:13.44% B:0.63%)Conf.: ±0.0075 (-0.0211...-0.0062) - [99.1%]
Duration: 9 minutes 42 seconds2. Rollout1 24/21 16/15 eq: -0.0270 (-0.0133)
Player:
Opponent:52.96% (G:17.67% B:1.96%)
47.04% (G:14.52% B:0.50%)Conf.: ±0.0081 (-0.0351...-0.0189) - [0.9%]
Duration: 9 minutes 34 seconds3. Rollout1 16/15 13/10 eq: -0.0915 (-0.0779)
Player:
Opponent:50.88% (G:19.17% B:2.47%)
49.12% (G:14.09% B:0.69%)Conf.: ±0.0078 (-0.0993...-0.0837) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 51 seconds4. Rollout1 24/20 eq: -0.0989 (-0.0852)
Player:
Opponent:51.27% (G:16.99% B:2.21%)
48.73% (G:15.24% B:0.54%)Conf.: ±0.0080 (-0.1069...-0.0909) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 14 seconds5. Rollout1 24/23 16/13 eq: -0.1016 (-0.0879)
Player:
Opponent:51.02% (G:17.00% B:1.97%)
48.98% (G:14.54% B:0.47%)Conf.: ±0.0081 (-0.1097...-0.0935) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 26 seconds1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.192.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
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