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too strong to double

Posted By: matthieu_in_hk
Date: Monday, 13 May 2013, at 11:59 p.m.

Hello, In this position, red is clearly too strong to double, but on the other hand there is few chances of gammon and a bad roll can flip the game over. What do you think of doubling here?

The score (after 2 games) is: skunky 2, You 2 (match to 5 points)

Move number 28: You on roll, cube decision?

skunky94

2X3X2X2X2X1X '1X ' ' ' '

2X2O2O3O2O3O2O '1O ' ' '
You73
Position ID: u20JADC2200AAA Match ID: cAmgACAAEAAE

• You doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.059)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.976(Money: +0.911)
 0.898 0.113 0.004 - 0.102 0.003 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +1.059 
2.Double, take +2.180 +1.120
3.Double, pass +1.000 -0.059
Proper cube action:Too good to double, pass (5.0%)

 

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