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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Wednesday, 5 June 2013, at 1:34 p.m.

In Response To: Boring Backgame Double Four (Neil Robins)

Basically HIT. At a more normal match score it's still a must to hit.





White is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 96
13 point match
pip: 194
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----A-C-C--a-B-B-cbdbbBaB-:0:0:1:44:2:9:0:13:10
Blue to play 44
1.Rollout115/11* 13/9(2) 8/4eq: -0.209
Player:
Opponent:
46.95% (G:5.80% B:0.23%)
53.05% (G:28.00% B:7.84%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.213...-0.206) - [89.1%]
Duration: 4 hours 08 minutes
2.Rollout115/11*(2) 13/9(2)eq: -0.212 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
47.36% (G:5.28% B:0.22%)
52.64% (G:28.67% B:8.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.215...-0.209) - [9.7%]
Duration: 4 hours 40 minutes
3.Rollout115/11* 13/9 11/7 8/4eq: -0.214 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
47.21% (G:5.55% B:0.23%)
52.79% (G:29.01% B:8.60%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.217...-0.211) - [1.1%]
Duration: 4 hours 26 minutes
4.Rollout215/11* 13/9(2) 11/7eq: -0.218 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
47.73% (G:4.80% B:0.20%)
52.27% (G:30.18% B:9.61%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.222...-0.214) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 05 minutes
5.Rollout315/11*(2) 11/7 8/4eq: -0.222 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
46.69% (G:5.65% B:0.25%)
53.31% (G:28.29% B:7.90%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.228...-0.215) - [0.0%]
Duration: 59 minutes 32 seconds
6.Rollout415/11*(2) 13/9 8/4eq: -0.223 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
46.65% (G:5.66% B:0.24%)
53.35% (G:28.37% B:7.90%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.230...-0.217) - [0.0%]
Duration: 57 minutes 47 seconds
7.Rollout515/11* 13/5 8/4eq: -0.226 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
47.03% (G:5.49% B:0.23%)
52.97% (G:29.69% B:9.21%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.234...-0.218) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 13 seconds
8.Rollout615/11*(2) 11/7(2)eq: -0.245 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
46.67% (G:4.97% B:0.21%)
53.33% (G:28.92% B:8.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.254...-0.236) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 37 seconds
9.Rollout715/11*(2) 13/5eq: -0.285 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:
46.43% (G:4.06% B:0.16%)
53.57% (G:30.81% B:9.70%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.294...-0.275) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 08 seconds
10.Rollout713/9 13/5 8/4eq: -0.295 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:
45.67% (G:3.87% B:0.15%)
54.33% (G:27.91% B:6.80%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.303...-0.288) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 26 seconds
11.Rollout713/5(2)eq: -0.299 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:
45.56% (G:3.87% B:0.15%)
54.44% (G:28.01% B:6.81%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.307...-0.291) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 05 seconds
12.Rollout815/11* 13/5 11/7eq: -0.327 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:
46.09% (G:3.64% B:0.16%)
53.91% (G:33.58% B:12.85%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.343...-0.311) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 17 seconds
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 27828 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 10908 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

4 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

5 8002 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

6 5616 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

7 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

8 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 96
13 point match
pip: 194
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----A-C-C--a-B-B-cbdbbBaB-:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:13:10
Blue to play 44
1.Rollout115/11* 13/9(2) 8/4eq: -0.406
Player:
Opponent:
46.56% (G:5.56% B:0.23%)
53.44% (G:27.26% B:4.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.420...-0.393) - [92.5%]
Duration: 11 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout115/11* 13/9 11/7 8/4eq: -0.422 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
46.96% (G:5.45% B:0.24%)
53.04% (G:28.45% B:4.96%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.436...-0.409) - [4.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 49 seconds
3.Rollout115/11*(2) 13/9 8/4eq: -0.426 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
46.25% (G:5.47% B:0.23%)
53.75% (G:27.42% B:4.31%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.439...-0.414) - [1.2%]
Duration: 10 minutes 53 seconds
4.Rollout115/11*(2) 11/7 8/4eq: -0.427 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
46.20% (G:5.51% B:0.23%)
53.80% (G:27.52% B:4.21%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.440...-0.414) - [1.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 07 seconds
5.Rollout115/11*(2) 13/9(2)eq: -0.429 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
46.94% (G:4.88% B:0.21%)
53.06% (G:28.40% B:4.90%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.443...-0.415) - [0.8%]
Duration: 12 minutes 36 seconds
6.Rollout115/11* 13/9(2) 11/7eq: -0.448 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
47.34% (G:4.62% B:0.20%)
52.66% (G:29.77% B:5.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.463...-0.432) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 52 seconds
7.Rollout113/9 13/5 8/4eq: -0.472 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:
45.32% (G:3.85% B:0.15%)
54.68% (G:27.34% B:3.60%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.484...-0.461) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 01 second
8.Rollout113/5(2)eq: -0.473 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
45.32% (G:3.76% B:0.16%)
54.68% (G:27.65% B:3.64%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.485...-0.462) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 09 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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