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Beaver calculus

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Monday, 24 June 2013, at 10:34 p.m.

I doubled GNUbg in this money game and got beavered. Clear blunder, I now know. I write to ask what generally the correct beaver strategy is.

I note that I was a favorite to win and that my gammon chances were slightly better than my opponent's, so I was the favorite, right?

Having the cube has value, but that vigorish would at best make my opponent the favorite and not by much.

So, will appreciate an explanation or citation to material that explains the proper beavering strategy.

Thanks.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, leo 0

Move number 10: leo on roll, cube decision?

gnubg160

2O ' ' ' '5X2X3X ' '1O2O

1X '2O2X '3O2O3O ' ' '2X
leo150
Position ID: 4NvBACOM28ECMA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAE

• leo doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.301)! [very bad]

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.052
0.525 0.132 0.004 - 0.475 0.130 0.004
Cubeful equities:
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.No double +0.079
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.921
3.Double, take -0.222 -0.301
Proper cube action:No double, beaver (24.7%)

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