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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 12 October 2006, at 10:28 a.m.

In Response To: 52S-55A-2X-C? (Stick)

It's no double here, as probably everyone knew. The fact that white has entered a man on the deuce point is half an anchor, and here the deuce anchor is as good as any anchor with those huge gaps on the 4 & 5 pts. that will be tough to fill. There also isn't enough wood up front to carry out a blitz, best to hold off and see what comes.

Money Game
Cube Action?
162
147
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.390
0.4% 29.5% 60.1% 39.9% 10.4% 0.6%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.390 ±0.013. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 41905 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
1. No double 0.534
2. Double, take 0.488 (-0.046)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.466)
Proper cube action: No double, take9%

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