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Still 5 pt -- Rollout + Variants

Posted By: Igor
Date: Friday, 19 July 2013, at 10:00 p.m.

In Response To: Still 5 pt (Igor)

I hit OtB and was dinged for it. I guess the 4-5-6 structure is very strong and we should be aiming for a priming game.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-C-C--BeC---a-cbAb-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.366
Player:
Opponent:
59.16% (G:19.99% B:1.47%)
40.84% (G:13.77% B:0.68%)
Conf.: 0.016 (+0.350...+0.382) - [100.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 41 seconds
2.Rollout121/17* eq: +0.324 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:
58.32% (G:16.58% B:1.10%)
41.68% (G:12.23% B:0.51%)
Conf.: 0.016 (+0.307...+0.340) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout224/21 11/10eq: +0.301 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:
56.74% (G:15.83% B:0.63%)
43.26% (G:9.53% B:0.39%)
Conf.: 0.015 (+0.286...+0.316) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 07 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38129011
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21271571
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

I hope the following variants explain what is going on in the OP.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-B--C-C--BeC---a-cbAb-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout121/17* eq: +0.221
Player:
Opponent:
55.55% (G:16.33% B:1.09%)
44.45% (G:13.64% B:0.55%)
Conf.: 0.018 (+0.203...+0.239) - [99.9%]
Duration: 16 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 11/10eq: +0.183 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
53.97% (G:16.22% B:0.64%)
46.03% (G:10.80% B:0.45%)
Conf.: 0.015 (+0.168...+0.199) - [0.1%]
Duration: 14 minutes 31 seconds
3.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.158 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
53.91% (G:18.37% B:1.23%)
46.09% (G:15.52% B:0.77%)
Conf.: 0.017 (+0.141...+0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 16 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47278054
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bB---C-C--BeC---a-cbAb-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout121/17* eq: +0.133
Player:
Opponent:
53.17% (G:15.78% B:1.15%)
46.83% (G:14.61% B:0.64%)
Conf.: 0.015 (+0.118...+0.148) - [100.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 11/10eq: +0.077 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:
50.91% (G:14.72% B:0.55%)
49.09% (G:11.10% B:0.49%)
Conf.: 0.013 (+0.064...+0.091) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 31 seconds
3.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.053 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:
50.73% (G:18.00% B:1.30%)
49.27% (G:16.78% B:0.87%)
Conf.: 0.016 (+0.037...+0.069) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 49 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47278054
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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