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Help! Why race when behind? -- Rollouts

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 24 July 2013, at 4:26 a.m.

In Response To: Help! Why race when behind? (Bill Calton)

Original position (center cube, Jacoby):





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----B-C-C--AeCbB-b-db--A--:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout123/15eq: -0.5862
Player:
Opponent:
31.68% (G:0.32% B:0.01%)
68.32% (G:0.75% B:0.01%)
Conf.: 0.0036 (-0.5897...-0.5826) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 58 minutes
2.Rollout113/5eq: -0.6420 (-0.0558)
Player:
Opponent:
32.65% (G:3.49% B:0.10%)
67.35% (G:9.24% B:0.19%)
Conf.: 0.0040 (-0.6459...-0.6380) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 25 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Cubeless, no Jacoby:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----B-C-C--AeCbB-b-db--A--:0:0:1:62:0:0:2:0:0
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout123/15eq: -0.3747
Player:
Opponent:
31.47% (G:0.24% B:0.01%)
68.53% (G:0.65% B:0.02%)
Conf.: 0.0014 (-0.3761...-0.3733) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
2.Rollout113/5eq: -0.4083 (-0.0336)
Player:
Opponent:
32.81% (G:3.46% B:0.10%)
67.19% (G:9.83% B:0.19%)
Conf.: 0.0017 (-0.4101...-0.4066) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 50 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Cubeless
Moves: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Holding cube:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----B-C-C--AeCbB-b-db--A--:1:1:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout123/15eq: -0.2660
Player:
Opponent:
31.47% (G:0.25% B:0.01%)
68.53% (G:0.65% B:0.02%)
Conf.: 0.0031 (-0.2690...-0.2629) - [100.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 05 seconds
2.Rollout113/5eq: -0.3006 (-0.0346)
Player:
Opponent:
32.62% (G:3.50% B:0.10%)
67.38% (G:9.69% B:0.18%)
Conf.: 0.0036 (-0.3042...-0.2969) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 52 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Opponent holding cube:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----B-C-C--AeCbB-b-db--A--:1:-1:1:62:0:0:2:0:0
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout123/15eq: -0.3740
Player:
Opponent:
31.51% (G:0.24% B:0.01%)
68.49% (G:0.66% B:0.02%)
Conf.: 0.0020 (-0.3761...-0.3720) - [100.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 54 seconds
2.Rollout113/5eq: -0.4077 (-0.0336)
Player:
Opponent:
32.84% (G:3.49% B:0.11%)
67.16% (G:9.87% B:0.18%)
Conf.: 0.0025 (-0.4102...-0.4052) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 38 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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