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BGonline.org Forums
Coming home roll 54
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Coming home roll 54 (Klaus Evers)
Date: Sunday, 4 August 2013, at 6:12 p.m.
We aren't breaking up our mini prime when the opponent's board isn't that strong. A blot on the 4pt that can't be likely covered for turns to come even if we are hit. With all those checkers therefore not moving we're down to two plays, two down from the midpoint or 16/7.
There are probably minor factors that weigh in like the number of shots being 11 v. 15 or the harassment value of the 16pt v. the midpoint where the 16pt will cause issues with 44 or 31 and perhaps in the future with other small rolls. These may be worth mentioning but the overriding factor I'm guessing is that if you leave the 16pt and he hits you he has a direct cover next turn for his blot. If he hits you on your 9pt after two down from the midpoint he still is very unlikely to have anything to cover that blot next turn even if you do fan. He is also forfeiting his anchor which could come back to bite him in the ass down the road. (therefore 13/9 13/8)
Stick
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