2 away 2 away Score/ DATA
Posted By: Rick Janowski In Response To: 2 away 2 away Score/ DATA (Bob Koca)
Date: Sunday, 25 August 2013, at 4:47 p.m.
In Response To: 2 away 2 away Score/ DATA (Bob Koca)
This is interesting data. Assuming at 2 away 2 away scores the game is cashed 40% of the time, with the remainder either won on a 2-cube or by an un-doubled gammon, the average duration will be about 1.7 games (comprising 60% in 1 game, 12% in 2 games and 28% in 3 games).
In comparison, a cubeless 2-point match will last about 2.2 games (comprising 30% in 1 game, 20% in 2 games and 50% in 3 games).
My estimate of 10% occurrence in a 7-point match was a ballpark guesstimate - it wouldn’t surprise me if the value is nearer 15%.
I agree with your earlier post that it would be useful to run some simulation. Alternatively, it would be very beneficial if the 2 away 2 away change was trialled at a tournament, to get useful feedback on both stats and popularity.
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