Original position:
      
 
         
 | | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 40 | | 5 point match | pip: 59
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-F-C------------a--caccbbA:1:-1:-1:62:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 62 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/1 | eq: +0.364 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.53% (G:0.34% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.361...+0.367) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8.9 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/3 4/2 | eq: +0.336 (-0.028) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
46.86% (G:0.33% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.333...+0.338) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7.1 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 9/3 5/3 | eq: +0.318 (-0.046) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
47.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.315...+0.321) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3.3 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 9/3 6/4 | eq: +0.230 (-0.134) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
50.72% (G:0.36% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.227...+0.232) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.3 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 9/3 2/Off | eq: +0.080 (-0.284) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.077...+0.083) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23.8 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
With one less checker off it is very close:
 
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 41 | | 5 point match | pip: 59
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-G-C------------a--caccbbA:1:-1:-1:62:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 62 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/1 | eq: +0.551 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.79% (G:0.16% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.550...+0.552) - [85.8%]
Duration: 5.9 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/3 5/3 | eq: +0.549 (-0.002) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.546...+0.553) - [14.1%]
Duration: 4.8 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 9/3 4/2 | eq: +0.548 (-0.003) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.60% (G:0.15% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.547...+0.550) - [0.1%]
Duration: 6.0 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 9/3 6/4 | eq: +0.399 (-0.152) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.63% (G:0.18% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.396...+0.402) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8.2 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 9/3 2/Off | eq: +0.232 (-0.319) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
52.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.229...+0.235) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31.1 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
In original problem Blue played 9/1 and White fanned. Cube? Don't think too hard, it doesn't matter.
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 40 | | 5 point match | pip: 51
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-F-C---------------caccbcA:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 69.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 70.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 30.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 29.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.396 | +0.929 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.768 | ±0.002 (+0.765..+0.770) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.766 (-0.002) | ±0.003 (+0.763..+0.769) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.232) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No redouble / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.7% |
| Rollout details |
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 79.3% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 5.8 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
If cube/no cube is borderline after 9/1, it is surely no cube after 9/3 5/3.
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 40 | | 5 point match | pip: 51
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-F-C---------------c-cebbA:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 65.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 64.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 35.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.300 | +0.692 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.643 | ±0.003 (+0.641..+0.646) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.501 (-0.142) | ±0.004 (+0.498..+0.505) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.357) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No redouble / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 22.2% |
| Rollout details |
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 4.6 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Cube action in a position where Blue played 9/1, and White has one less checker off:
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 41 | | 5 point match | pip: 51
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-G-C---------------caccbcA:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 77.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 77.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 22.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 22.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.542 | +1.256 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.850 (-0.150) | ±0.002 (+0.849..+0.852) |
| Redouble/Take: | +1.133 (+0.133) | ±0.003 (+1.130..+1.137) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass |
| Rollout details |
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 3.7 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
And after 9/3 5/3:
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 41 | | 5 point match | pip: 51
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-G-C---------------c-cebbA:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 72.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 72.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 27.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 27.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.451 | +1.042 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.765 (-0.125) | ±0.002 (+0.763..+0.767) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.891 | ±0.004 (+0.887..+0.894) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.109) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take |
| Rollout details |
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 3.8 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2