OTB I got the correct and played 24/20 8/2.
A play like 20/10 leaves to many good rolls, whereas making my 2 pt neglects to anchor and invites attack.
Playing 8/2 while ugly, isn't the near sac of a piece that 13/7 is and isn't horrid since I retain a spare on the 8 pt.
I'd also play 24/20 8/2 for money.
        
 
        
 | | White is XG-Champion
score: 0
pip: 160 | | 1 point match | pip: 158
score: 0
Blue is neilkaz |
|
| XGID=-a-a--E-D---dD---d-eA---A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 8/2 | eq: +0.0561 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.80% (G:15.03% B:1.16%)
47.20% (G:12.15% B:0.86%) | Conf.: ±0.0034 (+0.0527...+0.0595) - [100.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/10 | eq: +0.0268 (-0.0293) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.34% (G:15.25% B:1.82%)
48.66% (G:14.32% B:0.93%) | Conf.: ±0.0039 (+0.0230...+0.0307) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/7 | eq: +0.0237 (-0.0324) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.18% (G:14.37% B:1.14%)
48.82% (G:12.64% B:0.75%) | Conf.: ±0.0035 (+0.0202...+0.0272) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/2 6/2 | eq: +0.0051 (-0.0510) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.25% (G:17.85% B:1.97%)
49.75% (G:14.79% B:1.23%) | Conf.: ±0.0037 (+0.0014...+0.0088) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 18 seconds |
|
| 5. | XG Roller++ | 24/14 | eq: -0.0131 (-0.0692) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.34% (G:11.25% B:0.49%)
50.66% (G:13.40% B:0.44%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller++ | 13/3* | eq: -0.0164 (-0.0725) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.18% (G:13.50% B:0.47%)
50.82% (G:12.31% B:0.56%) | |
|
| 7. | XG Roller++ | 24/18 20/16 | eq: -0.0170 (-0.0731) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.15% (G:10.74% B:0.45%)
50.85% (G:14.76% B:0.49%) | |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.193.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2