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Another cube, almost home OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 2 September 2013, at 2:54 p.m.

In Response To: Another recube, almost home (neilkaz)

OTB I felt that this was about 70/30 game and I knew that Alfred's TP here was similar to money. I felt that I was losing over 2% G's (slight over estimated) and that would have kept me from cubing for money but not AtS. Although I was sure both decisions were close. I cubed and he scooped of course and I was hit with 2 checkers borne off later and lost.

Perhaps I should've waited for a later roll and given him a tougher decision, but then again, it could still be a trivial D/T or I could've lost my market by a mile. Anyhow, I'd not have cubed most players in the room here since almost no one can pass this and their practical TP is lower if they are weaker than me.

White is Player 2

score: 7
pip: 77
9 point match
pip: 59
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.743% (G:0.174% B:0.001%) 70.279% (G:0.190% B:0.001%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.257% (G:1.152% B:0.034%) 29.721% (G:1.219% B:0.019%)
Cubeless Equities +0.3786 +0.6765
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6700 (-0.0065)0.0014 (+0.6685..+0.6714)
Double/Take:+0.67650.0020 (+0.6745..+0.6785)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3235)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.193.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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