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Quick 4 ply RO is adequate

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 18 September 2013, at 6:54 a.m.

In Response To: I'll do 4 ply overnight (neilkaz)

Blue's game just isn't good enuf to recube.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 60
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 107
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--B-BBCCa-A---A---b-bbAce-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.669% (G:7.965% B:0.275%) 63.529% (G:10.144% B:0.389%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.331% (G:2.564% B:0.011%) 36.471% (G:3.850% B:0.016%)
Cubeless Equities +0.3100 +0.6745
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.4946±0.0028 (+0.4918..+0.4974)
Redouble/Take:+0.3893 (-0.1052)±0.0078 (+0.3815..+0.3972)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.5054)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.192.pre-release

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