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rollout

Posted By: KenB
Date: Thursday, 19 September 2013, at 10:22 p.m.

In Response To: race cube? (KenB)

All of XGs race formulas has this as a double/pass and I did not adjust enough for the match score. I was surprised to be dinged this much for what I thought was a close cube.





White is Player 1

score: 3
pip: 98
7 point match
pip: 86
score: 2

Blue is Player 2
XGID=---ACCD-A-A-bB---b-bbcbb--:0:0:-1:00:3:2:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.619% (G:0.009% B:0.001%) 78.617% (G:0.010% B:0.001%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.381% (G:0.004% B:0.000%) 21.383% (G:0.005% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5724 +1.0559
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8271 (-0.0690)±0.0066 (+0.8205..+0.8337)
xg Double/Take:+0.8961±0.0078 (+0.8884..+0.9039)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.1039)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 26.3 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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