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BGonline.org Forums
Dodged a bullet to get here
Posted By: Igor In Response To: Dodged a bullet to get here (Smcrtorchs)
Date: Saturday, 21 September 2013, at 7:13 p.m.
Thanks for the link; reading the Zare series is on my to do list.
I am familiar with the method Dmitriy used. But as I mentioned I have found that Keith's simple adjustment formula works best in practice. Of course, it has its limitations and is best when applied to medium length races. In the OP the adjustments Keith recommends do produce an almost perfectly accurate 19% winning chance for white (taking into account your suggestion of 1 pip difference for point of last take in pip vs. pip races).
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