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Rollout Result Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 23 September 2013, at 12:15 a.m.

In Response To: Redouble With Two Up? (Paul Weaver)





White is peever

score: 5
pip: 112
9 point match
pip: 147
score: 3

Blue is shimohei
XGID=---BaBCBA---bB-A-d-bbab-aB:1:1:1:00:3:5:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 40.43% (G:15.15% B:1.52%) 40.55% (G:15.00% B:2.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 59.57% (G:36.69% B:5.04%) 59.45% (G:37.49% B:4.49%)
Cubeless Equities -0.478 -0.197
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:-0.194±0.002 (-0.196..-0.192)
Redouble/Take:-0.197 (-0.003)±0.002 (-0.199..-0.194)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+1.194)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.2%
Rollout details
41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:96.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 31 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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