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Wins / Gammons Estimations techniques

Posted By: Phil Simborg
Date: Wednesday, 9 October 2013, at 2:29 a.m.

In Response To: Wins / Gammons Estimations techniques (Keene)

I believe that for most positions, not only do you not have to estimate wins and gammons, but it is not the most effective measure. Most positions fall into categories, such as back games, racing, high holding, low holding, PVP, blitzing, one on the bar, containment, etc. etc., and for each of those there are tools, shortcuts, rules of thumb, triggers and references to tell you when it is a take and when it is a drop.

I teach cube basics first, then how to approach each of the categories of positions so that you don't have to do complicated calculations over the board.

Yes, there are positions that don't fit neatly into one of the above (or other) categories, and those do require estimating wins and gammons, and for those "general" positions, even there we have some established references and rules of thumb we can use as a basis for estimating wins and gammons.

Then, once you have done the estimates, there are some other tools to help you decide when to double or when to take if you are not quite sure, and even if you are clueless.

All of the above requires breaking the game down into small bits and doing a lot of deliberate practice, but a great amount of time and mistakes and pain can be saved if you have the right tools and approaches and you have a teacher or mentor to help steer you and catch you when you miss a key concept.

Yes, a few very bright people like Stick and MCG were pretty much able to achieve greatness by reading and studying and practicing on their own, but they are the exceptions, as most do far better, far quicker, with a mentor or coach.

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