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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 14 October 2013, at 7:50 p.m.

In Response To: Hit or not with this 52? (John O'Hagan)

This came up in our monthly tournament over the wknd. I found the right play here - 13/6. Don't need to hit loose. Black's D5 is a great shot but 65 leaves you a direct ace shot and the other 5s force Black to either waste the other number on his dice or leave a direct shot (I'd waste BTW). If Black rolls a 5-x and plays 23/18 5/?, you'll have 4 outside pips vs. 24 for Black. If Black doesn't get a 5, you will have all those strong PoH numbers.

is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 77
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 82
score: 6

is Player 1
XGID=--aCDBCaB----A------bbccc-:0:0:1:52:6:4:1:7:10
to play 52

1.Rollout113/6eq: +0.519
Player:
Opponent:
75.96% (G:2.82% B:0.06%)
24.04% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.517...+0.521) - [100.0%]
Duration: 37.3 seconds
2.Rollout113/8 4/2* eq: +0.499 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
74.98% (G:9.05% B:0.16%)
25.02% (G:1.03% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.497...+0.501) - [0.0%]
Duration: 58.8 seconds
3.Rollout113/8 3/1eq: +0.499 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
74.96% (G:3.33% B:0.02%)
25.04% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.497...+0.501) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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