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Calculating wining chance and....

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 15 October 2013, at 2:10 p.m.

In Response To: Calculating wining chance and.... (__1ERROR1__)

White has nine real good rolls (the eight pointers plus 33) which leave him in about a 90% position. I'd guess the other 27 leave him about a 70/30 favorite which makes White an overall 3/1 favorite in the game. Gammons heavily favor White by about 20% to 3% and the g values are about .6 for both players ATS. So Black needs ~35% less cube vig to take. Cube vig is reduced for the leader ATS so it's a pretty clear pass IMO.

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