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31P-32 at DMP & C3a

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Thursday, 17 October 2013, at 1:17 p.m.

In Response To: 31P-32 at GS (David Rockwell)

Here's something discovered by Tommy Nesbakk which I found fascinating. DMP and C3a are not the same. The swing between the two moves is .0055. If there are differences like this in the opening, there are probably differences in the middlegame as well.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---b-db---B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout124/21 13/11eq: -0.1582
Player:
Opponent:
42.09% (G:11.35% B:1.36%)
57.91% (G:21.41% B:3.31%)
Conf.: 0.0012 (-0.1594...-0.1570) - [93.7%]
Duration: 9 hours 01 minute
2.Rollout124/22 13/10eq: -0.1595 (-0.0013)
Player:
Opponent:
42.02% (G:11.77% B:1.45%)
57.98% (G:21.73% B:3.15%)
Conf.: 0.0012 (-0.1607...-0.1583) - [6.3%]
Duration: 8 hours 46 minutes
3.Rollout124/22 24/21eq: -0.1620 (-0.0038)
Player:
Opponent:
41.90% (G:10.85% B:1.35%)
58.10% (G:21.13% B:2.69%)
Conf.: 0.0012 (-0.1631...-0.1608) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 51 minutes
4.Rollout213/11 13/10eq: -0.1750 (-0.0168)
Player:
Opponent:
41.25% (G:12.41% B:1.46%)
58.75% (G:23.12% B:4.66%)
Conf.: 0.0018 (-0.1768...-0.1732) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 56 minutes
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 55200367
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

2 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 55200367
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 163
5 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---b-db---B-:0:0:1:32:4:2:1:5:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout124/22 24/21eq: -0.1900
Player:
Opponent:
41.70% (G:10.99% B:1.37%)
58.30% (G:20.19% B:0.69%)
Conf.: 0.0010 (-0.1909...-0.1890) - [94.8%]
Duration: 10 hours 55 minutes
2.Rollout124/22 13/10eq: -0.1911 (-0.0012)
Player:
Opponent:
41.82% (G:11.94% B:1.50%)
58.18% (G:20.16% B:0.86%)
Conf.: 0.0010 (-0.1921...-0.1902) - [4.7%]
Duration: 10 hours 45 minutes
3.Rollout124/21 13/11eq: -0.1917 (-0.0017)
Player:
Opponent:
41.81% (G:11.62% B:1.48%)
58.19% (G:20.11% B:0.88%)
Conf.: 0.0010 (-0.1927...-0.1907) - [0.5%]
Duration: 10 hours 57 minutes
4.Rollout213/8eq: -0.2179 (-0.0280)
Player:
Opponent:
40.42% (G:11.54% B:1.43%)
59.58% (G:20.06% B:0.80%)
Conf.: 0.0029 (-0.2208...-0.2150) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 09 minutes
5.Rollout213/11 13/10eq: -0.2183 (-0.0283)
Player:
Opponent:
40.65% (G:12.66% B:1.51%)
59.35% (G:21.19% B:1.02%)
Conf.: 0.0030 (-0.2213...-0.2153) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 741976
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5220 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 741976
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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