Robertie recommends a permanent asset in the 3pt. But if we manage to escape one back checker we are going to have an upper hand in the ensuing priming battle. If we are hit back, it only improves our timing and allows to get an anchor from the bar.
          
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 148 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b--B-DBC----Bba-cbe----B-:0:0:1:53:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 53 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/16 | eq: +0.420 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.57% (G:18.67% B:1.30%)
39.43% (G:11.38% B:0.49%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.413...+0.428) - [100.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 18 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3 6/3 | eq: +0.378 (-0.043) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.39% (G:21.40% B:1.68%)
41.61% (G:12.29% B:0.69%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.369...+0.386) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 85746520
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
If we have less timing, then running with one back checker is mandatory as we cannot outwait white in the back.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 148 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 140
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b--B-DBC--B--ba-cbe----B-:0:0:1:53:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 53 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/16 | eq: +0.546 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.88% (G:19.70% B:1.55%)
37.12% (G:10.35% B:0.45%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.526...+0.565) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3 6/3 | eq: +0.402 (-0.143) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.14% (G:20.30% B:1.75%)
40.86% (G:11.54% B:0.60%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.384...+0.421) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 55 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 85746520
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Also, giving white a 4-prime makes running mandatory.
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 144 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby | pip: 146
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b--B-CBD----Bba-bbdb---B-:0:0:1:53:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 53 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/16 | eq: -0.061 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.90% (G:13.98% B:0.97%)
50.10% (G:18.22% B:0.74%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.075...-0.047) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3 6/3 | eq: -0.148 (-0.087) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.35% (G:15.50% B:0.96%)
53.65% (G:16.40% B:1.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.165...-0.131) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 45 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54317634
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10