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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 1 November 2013, at 6:37 p.m.

In Response To: 64 for White (John O'Hagan)

I had this position against David Rockwell in Peoria. Not sure of the score so its presented here as a money game. 16/6 wins 2% more but the hit wins 11% more net gammons which makes it the better play. After 16/6, Black has 23 hits and will often make a 6 prime of his own in a roll or two. If you then enter right away, the timing will be against you.

After 7/1x with the six, 7/3 is better than 6/2 with the four. Don't want to leave that extra blot dangling on the 7-point.

I played 16/6 OTB.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 92
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBCB----b-b-B--bbbbb--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
to play 64

1.Rollout17/3 7/1* eq: +0.446
Player:
Opponent:		67.48% (G:31.20% B:0.15%)
32.52% (G:9.87% B:0.41%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.439...+0.453) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds
2.Rollout116/6eq: +0.399 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		69.58% (G:14.41% B:0.45%)
30.42% (G:3.79% B:0.14%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.391...+0.408) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds
3.Rollout17/1* 6/2eq: +0.384 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		66.00% (G:30.19% B:0.13%)
34.00% (G:16.82% B:0.77%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.378...+0.390) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 46 seconds
4.Rollout116/10 6/2eq: +0.339 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		68.62% (G:12.01% B:0.34%)
31.38% (G:3.89% B:0.14%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.330...+0.349) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 02 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

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