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64 for White

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 1 November 2013, at 6:59 p.m.

In Response To: 64 for White (Bill)

Bill wrote "I don't see that many gammons after a hit. The "gammon count" for the four outfield checkers is only 24 - or the equivalent of one more man back. Does that generate enough extra gammons to risk losing containment on the lone trailer?"

24 outside pips with one closed out and the side with the CB having reasonable spare distribution gives about 50% gammmon chances.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 113
11 point match
pip: 54
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBBCCCB-----b-b----bbbbb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 96.62% (G:50.64% B:0.05%) 96.72% (G:50.56% B:0.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 3.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 3.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +1.448 +2.951
Cubeful Equities
No double:+1.440
Double/Take:+2.924 (+1.484)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.440)
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 22.8%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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